REFERRAL PREDICTIONS

The Rumour Queen's taken a new poll, done new analysis and created 2 scenarios.

The Bad Case Scenario:
1st batch gets to the 10th Oct 05
2nd batch gets to the 17th

The Good Case Scenario:
1st batch gets to the 21st
2nd batch gets to the 31st

[For the record she's usually pretty accurate, we just don't know which estimation will be closer!] So there's no chance of referral in the next 2 batches.

I also went to China Adoption Forecast. They give a range and a most likely date for referral. They predict that my referral will arrive between the beginning of February and the middle of July (that prediction is more useful for people who are further back in the queue). There most likely date for referral is the beginning of March! I actually think that this prediction is a little overoptimistic (given the latest batch dates).

So when?
I think most likely in 3 batches time.

When will that be?
I think 1 more batch before Chinese New Year (18th February), another batch in March and then HOPEFULLY my batch in April!